ALBUQUERQUE — The next governor of New Mexico will be a woman.
Republican voters in the state elected Susana Martinez, the
district attorney from Doña Ana County, to be the GOP nominee to run
against Lt. Gov. Diane Denish, who ran unopposed in the Democratic
primary.
Martinez defeated former state Republican chairman Allen Weh, as
well as state Rep. Janice Arnold Jones, public-relations company owner
Doug Turner and Pete Domenici Jr., son of the former U.S. senator.
Not only are the Republicans running a woman for candidate. The top of the ticket will be two Hispanics.
Martinez's running mate will be Albuquerque businessmen John
Sanchez, a former state legislator from Albuquerque who was the
Republican gubernatorial candidate in 2002. Sanchez edged out state
Sen. Kent Cravens of Albuquerque and former state Rep. Brian Moore in
the lieutenant governor primary. Denish's running mate is former party
chairman Brian Colón.
Lonna Atkeson, a political-science professor at The University of
New Mexico, said the Denish-Martinez match-up "will be a very
interesting race because you'd have two women of very different
backgrounds. ...They offer very different perspectives about the
future."
Atkeson predicted Martinez will focus on corruption and
law-and-order themes while Denish will focus on jobs and the economy.
"It's going to force Denish to talk about issues she (Martinez) wants
to talk about, including immigration. I've always thought of us as a
state that ignores immigration."
Will an all-Hispanic ticket help the Republicans in Northern New
Mexico, where Hispanics in recent decades have voted overwhelmingly
Democratic? If history's any indication, the ethnicity factor might not
matter that much.
Get results from the election by NM Secretary of State from the June 1, 2010 vote.
See the election day photo gallery
http://tinyurl.com/2dgkyw4
In 2002, Republican Sanchez beat Richardson among Anglo voters by
45 percent to 42 percent. But Sanchez drew only 22 percent of the
Hispanic vote compared with Richardson's 72 percent, according to data
compiled by Brian Sanderoff, president of Research and Polling Inc.
Of course, one difference this time is that Richardson is Hispanic, while Denish is Anglo.
Asked whether having a Hispanic gubernatorial ticket will help
Republicans make inroads into the Hispanic vote, Sanderoff said in an
interview Tuesday, "It sure can't hurt." He said having a woman and a
Hispanic at the top of the ticket creates "energy" and positive
"symbolism" for the GOP. "Sometimes the Republican ticket is seen as
not being that diverse," he said.
Having Sanchez as a running mate will be an even stronger statement for the Republicans regarding diversity, Sanderoff said.
Martinez's gender and ethnicity might ease the "guilt factor" among Democrats tempted to vote Republican, he said.
Martinez could move "center right" as many Republicans do after a
primary in which they've had to appeal to the conservative party base.
"Perhaps instead of talking about 'amnesty' for illegal immigrants, she
might want to find a niche issue such as driver's licenses for illegal
immigrants," Sanderoff said.
Or, he said, Martinez want to target socially conservative Hispanic
Democrats with direct mailings and radio ads against abortion and gay
marriage. "Hispanics tend to be more liberal on economic issues, but
many are conservatives on social issues," Sanderoff said.
But Republicans have some work ahead of them in healing divisions
within their own party after a contentious primary. Although the
primary started out remarkably civil, in the last two weeks the rivalry
between Martinez and Weh turned vicious, with each of the front-runners
using ads attacking the other. In an unusual move, state GOP chairman
Harvey Yates took sides in the battle, defending Martinez's ad and
denouncing Weh's.
Those lingering hard feelings were evident Tuesday at the
Republican watch party at Albuquerque's Marriott Pyramid. Only one
candidate, Domenici, was seen at the get-together.
Domenici pledged to support the Republican ticket. But Weh made no
similar pledge Tuesday night. His campaign manager, Whitney Cheshire,
said she didn't know whether Weh would support Martinez.
The elder Domenici said that while the race did become increasingly
negative, he doubts the bitterness will remain a problem for the GOP
ticket. "There's too much time between the primary and the general," he
said. "There's plenty of time for healing."
Martinez's campaign was boosted in recent weeks with the
endorsement of former Republican vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin,
who included Martinez as one of her "Mama Grizzlies" — conservative
female candidates around the country.
Although Palin is, according to polls, a divisive figure, Sanderoff
said her support probably would have little if any effect on Martinez's
campaign. "Liberal Democrats who don't like Sarah Palin aren't the ones
who would vote for Martinez anyway," he said. "But it could hurt her
with independents who aren't enamored with Palin."
Contact Steve Terrell at 986-3037 or
sterrell@sfnewmexican.com. Read his political blog at roundhouseroundup.com.
Kate Nash contributed to this report